As of today, Saturday, July 8, 2017, the Gallup Poll shows Trump with a 38 percent approval rating, while his disapproval rating is at 56 percent. Once again Trump is making history. How much longer can Republicans continue to support their illegitimate president who hates everything about my America?
In November, 2018, all 435 seats in the House are up for reelection. 25 Democratic Senators will be seeking a return to Washington and 8 Republicans.
The House is a ‘wait and see’ situation, but the possibility is there. If Independents and Democrats refuse to be traditionally apathetic in a midterm election, and go to the polls in record numbers, Lyin Paul Ryan could be looking for a job at McDonald’s.
The Senate is precarious for Republicans. Currently Republicans hold 52 seats; Democrats hold 46; and there are two Independents who most often vote with Democrats. If Democrats gain two seats, the balance of power will change; three and it would move to the left side of the aisle.
Two Republican Senators who are up for reelection in 2018 are Ted Cruz from Texas, and Dean Heller in my own state of Nevada.
Cruz has a favorability rating of less than 50 percent. In a recent poll, Democrat Joaquin Castro leads Cruz 35 percent to 31. A Democrat has not won in Texas in 29 years.
Cruz’ polls are tied to Trump, who he once claimed to despise, but has become his lackey since November 8, 2016. Only 42 percent of Texans approve of Trump, while 54 percent disapprove.
In Nevada, this once red state is turning blue. In the 2016 election, our electoral votes went to Hillary Clinton. Republican challenger for the Senate, Joe Heck, lost to Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto. A background check bill for all gun purchases passed, although right wing politicians and the NRA spent hundreds of thousands of dollars opposing the measure.
Dean Heller continues to hold a small lead in the polls against Democratic challenger, Shelly Berkley; 45.9 to 44.7. Not only can the polls not be trusted, the assumption is that if Heller supports the senate’s version of Trumpcare, he will lose a year from November.
What Trump does and does not do for the next 12 months will change everyone’s poll numbers. Midterm elections are often decided by the popularity of the man currently living in the White House.
Of course the big question is ‘will Trump be living in the White House next summer?
Please re-post; thank you.
Op-ed by James Turnage
Image courtesy of DonkeyHotey
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